限られた時系列データからでも、信頼区間付きで絶滅リスクを推定できるのか。本論文では drift-Wiener process の下で絶滅確率の正確な信頼区間法を導き、観測誤差と短期依存に対する OEAR 拡張も提案しました。

A video of a mating behaviour of funa fish, Carassius auratus

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To consult the statistician after an experiment is finished is often merely to ask him to conduct a post mortem examination. He can perhaps say what the experiment died of.
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